House Prices Jump 11.3% in 4th Quarter

IRVINE, Calif. -- House prices rose 11.3% in the fourth quarter of 2013 compared to the same period a year earlier, CoreLogic reports. Some metropolitan areas, including Pittsburgh, reached new price peaks.

House prices nationwide were 20% above the level reached in the fourth quarter of 2011, but remained 21% below the peak reached in the first quarter of 2006, according to the latest report from the CoreLogic Case-Shiller indices.

The analysis projects that price appreciation is expected to slow across all domestic markets to 5.3% nationally through the end of this year, slightly above its long-term annual average of 4.5% recorded in 1975. "Limited construction of new homes and low inventories of existing homes for sale contributed to the jump in prices," said David Stiff, principal economist for CoreLogic Case-Shiller. "Developers remain cautious about building too many new houses until they see stronger demand in their markets."

The largest metropolitan areas, defined as those with populations greater than 950,000, that experienced the most rapid rates of appreciation year-over-year compared to fourth quarter 2012 were Las Vegas (+26%), Riverside, Calif. (+24%) and Oakland, Calif. (+23%). The three largest metropolitan areas that experienced no change were Oklahoma City, Okla., Tulsa, Okla. and Virginia Beach, Va. "There are a number of metropolitan areas that have reached new price peaks, including Houston, Dallas, Denver, Honolulu and Pittsburgh," Stiff said. "These cities have never achieved price levels quite this high, not even in the record year of 2006."

Of the largest metropolitan areas, those with the greatest projected year-over-year gains through the end of 2014 are Tucson, Ariz. (+11%), Rochester, N.Y. (+9%) and Hartford, Conn. (+9%). The largest metropolitan areas with the smallest projected gains are Nashville, Tenn. (+2%), Sacramento, Calif. (+2%) and Warren, Mich. (+2%).

"For the remainder of 2014, investor demand and sales of foreclosed properties should drop off quickly," Stiff noted. "Traditional buyers are returning slowly to the market, but cannot replace demand from investors who led the market in recent years."

The CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indexes are owned and generated by CoreLogic, which operates in North America, western Europe and the Pacific rim of Asia.

Published by The Business Journal, Youngstown, Ohio.
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